Volatility in Live Calf, Live Sheep, and Feed Wheat Return Markets: A Threat to Food Price Stability in Turkey
نویسندگان
چکیده
The volatility of meat prices affects the accessibility and even food security some consumers in Turkey. This study analyses selected livestock a major feed component, wheat, as well exchange rate domestic currency Turkey because imports augmented live calf sheep supply. analysis applies 470 price observations from January 2005 to October 2019 for each following series: calf, sheep, Turkish lira US dollar. series are analyzed by using VAR-Asymmetric BEKK-GARCH technique. results show that elicited conditional variances return were significantly affected both short-term shocks across series. uncertainties wheat markets long-term volatilities swings their own other markets, but market-induced effects stronger. Similarly, returns calves, rapid ascent periods compared when absent. unfavorable news exerted particularly negative on persistent markets. Additionally, market faced greater risks than or was greatly limited Results provide knowledge useful augmenting policy, assuring sustained animal protein eliminating insecurity.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Agriculture
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['2077-0472']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture12040566